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HIMS

On the eve of Q1 results

Sources (1)

The market is pricing a margin reset, not a collapse of the growth story. The Q1 results (11 May) are the key test of the narrative.

Analyst views

StockStory: HIMS is listed as a potential Russell 2000 outperformer, compared with Herbalife (weak organic growth) and Jackson Financial (shrinking margins), and is seen as having the most breakout potential of the three.

Price action

On 5 May the S&P 500 and Nasdaq both hit record highs, while HIMS fell 3.79% the same day to close at $26.37. Selling pressure ahead of the results is clear, and shorts are reluctant to close out early.

Q1 earnings preview

Date

11 May 2026

EPS consensus

$0.03-0.04 (2 weeks ago $0.05-0.06; down 80% to 83% year on year)

GLP-1 gap

A gap of about $65 million still to be filled

Revenue threshold

$620 million

Subscriber threshold

2.5 million subscribers (the floor for holding the narrative together)

Watch items
  • Subscription growth (whether it can rebound quarter on quarter)
  • Progress in the shift to branded drugs
  • Whether peptide revenue appears for the first time
  • Labs user data

Short interest

About 34% of the float (2-3 days to cover). If the Q1 numbers hit the mark, short covering could be sharply volatile.

Valuation snapshot

2026 EV/revenue

2.3x

Forward P/E

53x

Sources 1

  1. Seeking Alpha 5 May, StockStory via IndexBox

A brief is a lead for our research, not a verified conclusion or advice.